The stock market is off to a nice clip so far this year with the S&P 500 and International EFEA up more than 5% in less than two months. Things are moving so fast that I am already losing my bet on where the market will be on the Fourth of July this year, as I wagered on less than 4.5% growth..
Our portfolio doesn’t look that good so far this year, but we are still +1%. Our MegaCorp stock options have fallen year to date as the old workplace is struggling with any growth and may have gotten passed up on a potential acquisition.
That said, the market changes quickly – last year the S&P 500 fell 10% by this time of the year, only to finish up 9.5% This recent commentary by BMO’s Jack Ablin suggests that the market is due for a correction as it may be 5-10% overvalued at this point.
Fortunately, we are sitting on enough cash to be patient. For us, that is the key to riding out the ups-and-downs.
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It feels a bit like irrational exuberance to us right now. Not having a crystal ball, we are thinking about moving some money to the sidelines for awhile. I’d like to get out of individual stocks anyway.
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Agree – it will be very important to each earnings reports closely. Retailer reports last week were quite positive.
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We actually do both, still continue to buy, but not with everything we have to invest. This way we can profit from both market moves, albeit in a minor capacity.
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